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【TED演讲】乐观的偏见
听力简介:
我们是否生来就乐观有余而现实不足?Tali Sharot与我们分享的最新研究表明:人类的大脑更倾向于接受乐观的信息,而这样的特点既对人有益又十分危险。
Tali Sharot
Tali Sharot studies why our brains are biased toward optimism.
It's our tendency to overestimate our likelihood of experiencing good events in our lives and underestimate our likelihood of experiencing bad events. _______(一句话听写,首字母大写,句末加标点)_________We overestimate our longevity, our career prospects. In short, we're more optimistic than realistic, but we are oblivious to the fact.
Take marriage for example. In the Western world, divorce rates are about 40 percent. That means that out of five married couples, two will end up splitting their assets. But when you ask newlyweds about their own likelihood of divorce, they estimate it at zero percent. And even divorce lawyers, who should really know better, hugely underestimate their own likelihood of divorce. So it turns out that optimists are not less likely to divorce, but they are more likely to remarry. In the words of Samuel Johnson, "Remarriage is the triumph of hope over experience."
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